Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34% 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58% 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41% 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52% 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71% 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22% 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47% 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62% 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44% 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58% 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68% 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24% 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36% 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74% 1%Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34% 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58% 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41% 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52% 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71% 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22% 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47% 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62% 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44% 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58% 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68% 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24% 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36% 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74% 1%

Community Standards

Argue hard about politics. Keep it honest, keep it sourced, keep people safe. Everything else follows from that.

Demonstration data — not a live government record

Prohibited behavior

Enforced by humans
Threats, harassment & intimidation

Includes dogpiling, targeted campaigns, and threats framed as predictions.

Doxxing & privacy violations

Publishing anyone's private information, or demanding it as "evidence".

Impersonation

Posing as officials, candidates, organizations, or other members — parody must be labeled Satire.

Coordinated inauthentic behavior

Bot networks, sockpuppets, vote brigades, engineered consensus.

Fabricated evidence

Fake documents, doctored screenshots, invented quotes, or knowingly false sourcing.

Hate & dehumanization

Attacks on people for protected characteristics. Criticizing ideas and records is fine; dehumanizing people is not.

Market manipulation

Spreading known falsehoods to move a market, or coordinating to distort probabilities.

Election-process interference

False voting procedures, dates, eligibility claims, or intimidation of voters.

Moderation labels — what they mean

Quorly prefers labeling to deletion. A label keeps speech visible while telling readers exactly what they are looking at. These are the labels you will see:

Unverified claim

A factual assertion with no source yet. Not removed — flagged so readers weigh it accordingly.

Missing context

Technically accurate but likely to mislead without the attached context note.

Satire

Declared or determined parody. Keeps satire visible while preventing it being quoted as news.

Manipulated media

Image, audio, or video edited in a way that changes its meaning.

AI-generated media

Synthetic media. Required by policy on all AI-generated images, audio, and video.

Disputed

The claim is contested by cited reporting or official records; both sides linked.

Community note added

A note written by contributors and approved by reviewers who typically disagree.

Correction issued

The author corrected this post; the original text remains visible, struck through.

Community Notes — how notes earn publication

  • Anyone with a 30-day-old account and a clean record can propose a note; notes must cite at least one checkable source.
  • A note publishes only when reviewers who typically disagree with each other both rate it helpful — cross-perspective agreement is the bar.
  • Mass approval from one faction does nothing: agreement is weighted by reviewer diversity, so a thousand allies count less than a handful of usual opponents.
  • Notes never edit or hide the original post; they appear beneath it with their sources.
  • Note writers are rated on the long-term helpfulness of their notes — chronic partisan flagging loses reviewing weight.
Community note addedRated helpful by reviewers across the spectrum

Example: "The clip shows the vote on the procedural motion, not final passage. The member voted YES on final passage the following day. Source: House Clerk roll calls #214 and #219."

Enforcement ladder

1
Label / context

Content stays up with the applicable label or community note.

2
Warning

First clear violation: formal warning citing the exact rule.

3
Feature limits

Temporary limits — e.g. no new market proposals or reduced posting rate.

4
Temporary suspension

1–30 days depending on severity and history.

5
Permanent removal

Reserved for severe violations: threats, doxxing, coordinated manipulation, ban evasion.

Severity can skip rungs — a credible threat goes straight to removal. Political viewpoint is never a factor: enforcement statistics are published by rule, not by ideology, in the transparency report.

Appeals

Every enforcement action — every label, warning, limit, and suspension — carries a one-click appeal reviewed by a human who was not involved in the original decision. Outcomes arrive in writing within 72 hours, and a reversed action is fully expunged from your record.

Action notice One-click appeal Fresh human reviewer Written outcome ≤ 72h

The full appeal process and its published statistics live on the Neutrality & Transparency page.

Related: Market Rules · Methodology · Privacy Center