Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34% 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58% 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41% 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52% 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71% 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22% 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47% 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62% 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44% 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58% 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68% 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24% 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36% 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74% 1%Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34% 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58% 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41% 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52% 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71% 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22% 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47% 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62% 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44% 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58% 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68% 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24% 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36% 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74% 1%

Revenue Simulator

Internal planning tool — models the transaction-fee revenue share plus subscription and data revenue. Illustrative only, not a projection.

Exchange assumptions
Monthly active traders25,000
Matched contracts / trader / month200
Avg provider fee per matched contract$0.010
Quorly revenue share35%
Platform assumptions
Plus subscribers (% of traders)2.5%
Newsroom / org / API customers25
Qualified funded referrals / mo500
Partner bounty per referral$40
Creator gross revenue / mo$50K
Estimated monthly revenue
$54,994
$659,925 annual run rate
Fee share
$17,500
Referrals
$12,500
Subscriptions
$6,244
Creator fees
$5,000
Data & orgs
$13,750
Matched contracts / mo
5.0M
Gross provider fees
$50,000
Revenue / trader
$2.20
Provider keeps
$32,500
Volume-based Side-neutral Diversified
Revenue scales with matched volume, never with which side wins. The spec scenarios: 25K traders ≈ $17.5K/mo fee share; 250K traders × 300 contracts ≈ $262.5K/mo fee share — before subscriptions, data, and API revenue.
Planning example only — not a guaranteed financial projection. Any live fee and revenue share requires a signed agreement with a regulated exchange partner, legal review, and compliance approval. See the public fee disclosure.