Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34% 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58% 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41% 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52% 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71% 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22% 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47% 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62% 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44% 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58% 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68% 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24% 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36% 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74% 1%Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34% 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58% 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41% 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52% 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71% 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22% 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47% 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62% 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44% 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58% 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68% 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24% 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36% 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74% 1%

Circles

Topic communities for evidence-driven political discussion. Join a Circle to see its posts in your feed.

Demonstration data — not a live government record

Live tracking of floor votes, committee action, and leadership maneuvering. The room where whip counts happen — bring sources, leave talking points at the door.

House, Senate, and governor races for November 2026. Polling averages, fundraising reports, district-by-district modeling, and honest uncertainty.

Coverage, costs, drug pricing, rural hospitals, and mental-health access. Wonks, clinicians, and patients comparing what the bills actually say.

Rescheduling, banking access, state programs, and the federal legalization timeline. Tracking S. 2201 clause by clause.

The STOCK Act, H.R. 1234, disclosure filings, and the 83%-support / 34%-probability gap. The most-watched accountability story on Quorly.

The AI Accountability Act, agency rulemaking, state preemption fights, and what a federal framework would actually cover.

H.R. 410, asylum processing, visa backlogs, and enforcement data. A hard topic held to the highest sourcing standard on the platform.

Confirmation math, oral-argument tea leaves, and opinion-day forecasting. Reading the Court like a market, not a fan club.

Permitting reform, grid buildout, energy prices, and the politics of transition. Where engineers and economists argue productively.

VA claims backlog, toxic-exposure coverage, and veteran healthcare access. Led by veterans, open to everyone who does the reading.

Weighting, mode effects, likely-voter screens, and why two polls of the same race can be 8 points apart. The nerdiest circle on the platform.

School boards, city councils, zoning fights, and county budgets — the government closest to your street. Post your district, find your neighbors.

Registration deadlines, how forecasting works, and judgment-free civics questions. The fastest-growing circle on Quorly.