Prediction Markets
Forecast political outcomes with virtual Q Credits. Probabilities reflect the aggregated judgment of the Quorly community.
Open markets
254%
Credits committed
53.3M6%
Active forecasters
287.9K3%
Markets resolved
3
ElectionsFederal Trending
Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?
YES
52%
NO
48%
24h 1pt
24.5K 5.1M 4mo left
1.2K comments 8.5K followers
ElectionsFederal Trending
Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?
YES
44%
NO
56%
24h 2pt
19.3K 4.2M 4mo left
976 comments 6.9K followers
EconomyFederal Closing soon
Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?
YES
68%
NO
32%
24h 9pt
15K 3.9M 25d left
734 comments 4K followers
CongressFederal Trending
Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?
YES
58%
NO
42%
24h 2pt
18.2K 3.5M 2.5y left
761 comments 5.2K followers
ImmigrationFederal Trending
Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?
YES
62%
NO
38%
24h 1pt
16.8K 3.2M 6mo left
892 comments 5K followers
CongressFederal Trending
Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?
YES
41%
NO
59%
24h 5pt
15.6K 2.9M 3mo left
538 comments 3K followers
Government AccountabilityFederal Trending
Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?
YES
34%
NO
66%
24h 3pt
12.8K 2.1M 6mo left
482 comments 3.1K followers
Technology & AIFederal Trending
Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?
YES
47%
NO
53%
24h 4pt
11.3K 2M 1.4y left
645 comments 4.1K followers
Technology & AIFederal Trending
Will a federal kids' online safety law be enacted before July 2027?
YES
55%
NO
45%
24h 6pt
9.1K 1.5M 12mo left
389 comments 2.4K followers
State PoliticsCalifornia Closing soon
Will California enact a major housing-permitting streamlining package this session?
YES
66%
NO
34%
24h 7pt
5.9K 980.6K 2mo left
245 comments 1.6K followers
Foreign PolicyFederal
Will Congress pass a new Ukraine assistance package above $20B before 2027?
YES
52%
NO
48%
24h 4pt
10.9K 2.1M 6mo left
534 comments 3.2K followers
EconomyFederal
Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?
YES
24%
NO
76%
24h 3pt
10.4K 2M 12mo left
421 comments 2.7K followers
Technology & AIFederal
Will comprehensive crypto market-structure legislation be enacted before 2028?
YES
43%
NO
57%
24h 2pt
8.3K 1.8M 1.4y left
267 comments 1.9K followers
CongressFederal
Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?
YES
71%
NO
29%
24h 2pt
9.8K 1.8M 6mo left
356 comments 2.2K followers
ElectionsOhio
Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?
YES
58%
NO
42%
24h 3pt
7.2K 1.3M 4mo left
287 comments 1.6K followers
EconomyFederal
Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?
YES
22%
NO
78%
24h 1pt
8.4K 1.2M 1.5y left
214 comments 1.5K followers
Foreign PolicyFederal
Will average U.S. tariff rates on Chinese goods be reduced before 2027?
YES
27%
NO
73%
24h 2pt
6.5K 1.2M 6mo left
203 comments 1.4K followers
HealthcareFederal
Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?
YES
36%
NO
64%
24h 2pt
6.9K 1.1M 1.4y left
198 comments 1.3K followers
ImmigrationFederal
Will DACA protections be codified into federal law before 2028?
YES
18%
NO
82%
24h 4pt
7.7K 1.1M 1.4y left
312 comments 2.1K followers
EnvironmentFederal
Will Congress extend clean-energy tax credits before their 2027 step-down?
YES
41%
NO
59%
24h 2pt
6.1K 940.3K 6mo left
178 comments 1.1K followers
HealthcareFederal
Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?
YES
74%
NO
26%
24h 1pt
5.4K 890.6K 6mo left
156 comments 980 followers
Government AccountabilityFederal
Will FISA Section 702 be reauthorized with a warrant requirement before 2027?
YES
29%
NO
71%
24h 1pt
5.3K 870.3K 5mo left
167 comments 1.2K followers
HealthcareFederal
Will the School Mental Health Access Act pass the Senate before 2027?
YES
49%
NO
51%
24h 3pt
4.9K 720.4K 6mo left
143 comments 890 followers
EnvironmentFederal
Will the EPA methane fee survive congressional review through 2026?
YES
57%
NO
43%
24h 1pt
4.2K 610.2K 6mo left
96 comments 640 followers
State PoliticsTexas
Will Texas approve a major interconnection linking ERCOT to a national grid before 2029?
YES
12%
NO
88%
24h 0pt
3.2K 450.2K 2.4y left
88 comments 520 followers
Q Credits are a virtual reputation currency with no cash value. They cannot be purchased, withdrawn, transferred, or exchanged for anything of value. Positions are forecasts, not wagers.
Demonstration data — not a live government record