Notifications
Alerts for markets, representatives, legislation, and your community.
YES probability moved +4.2 pts in the last 6 hours on heavy volume after the Rules Committee hearing notice.
“Good catch on the discharge-petition count — updated my thread to 187 signatures.”
Your followed representative voted YES on the Border Security Modernization Act committee report (CA-45).
Resolved YES. Your 300-credit position returned 445 credits (+145). Accuracy updated to 78%.
The Cannabis Reform and Regulation Act was added to the Senate calendar for the July 13 work period.
DataDriven, MapRoomMel and 11 others followed you this week.
This market enters its final trading window in 14 days. You have an open YES position of 400 credits.
Your 7-day calibration score is 84 (+3). You were overconfident on 2 of 9 resolved forecasts.
Constituent Pulse support for the stock-trading ban (83%) now diverges 49 pts from your district member's stated position.
Your analysis on floor-schedule forecasting reached 782 likes and was reposted 289 times.
The AI Accountability Act advanced out of committee 31-19 with a compute-threshold amendment adopted by voice vote.
Resolved YES. Your 200-credit NO position expired at 0. Review the resolution criteria and your reasoning log.
A note was added to OpenWeightsOwen's AI-act prediction. Notes you rated helpful shaped this outcome.
“Federal AI framework law before 2028” — 47% YES, 22.6K forecasters. Based on your AI Regulation circle activity.
The 2026 Midterms circle you joined passed 61,000 members — the largest on Quorly.
Quarterly disclosure: credits have no cash value, cannot be purchased, transferred, or withdrawn. Forecast responsibly.
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