Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34% 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58% 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41% 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52% 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71% 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22% 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47% 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62% 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44% 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58% 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68% 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24% 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36% 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74% 1%Will Congress enact a ban on congressional stock trading before January 3, 2027?YES 34% 3%Will cannabis be federally legalized or descheduled before January 1, 2029?YES 58% 2%Will there be a federal government shutdown before October 1, 2026?YES 41% 5%Will Republicans keep control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms?YES 52% 1%Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court nominee in 2026?YES 71% 2%Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?YES 22% 1%Will Congress enact a comprehensive federal AI framework law before January 1, 2028?YES 47% 4%Will a comprehensive border security bill become law before January 2027?YES 62% 1%Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms?YES 44% 2%Will the Republican candidate win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate race?YES 58% 3%Will the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting?YES 68% 9%Will the NBER declare a U.S. recession beginning in 2026?YES 24% 3%Will Medicare drug-price negotiation be expanded to 30+ drugs before 2028?YES 36% 2%Will pandemic-era Medicare telehealth flexibilities be made permanent before 2027?YES 74% 1%
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Healthcare Policy

27.4K members+4.1% this month

Coverage, costs, drug pricing, rural hospitals, and mental-health access. Wonks, clinicians, and patients comparing what the bills actually say.

Demonstration data — not a live government record
BC
Beth CallowayClinician55m

Our hospital board voted last night to close the maternity ward. Nearest delivery room is now 74 miles away. When you see 'rural health access' in a bill summary, this is what the phrase means. It means a parking lot birth in February.

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Hal BrubakerHealth Economist1d

Quiet signal in the Medicaid managed-care rule comments: three governors from the president's own party filed opposition. When intra-party opposition shows up in rulemaking comments, related legislation slips a session, historically ~70% of the time. Positioning accordingly on the healthcare rider.

Will a federal minimum wage increase be enacted before January 1, 2028?NO 78%
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Beth CallowayClinician4d

Health-policy folks: is there ANY provision in current legislation that addresses maternity-ward closures specifically? Not rural health broadly — the actual obstetric-unit math. I'll read whatever you link, I'm off Thursday.

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Hal BrubakerHealth Economist4d

The rural hospital math nobody puts in the bill summary. A critical-access hospital needs roughly 200 births/year for an obstetric unit to break even. Median in closing counties: 110. No reimbursement tweak fixes a volume problem — you either subsidize standby capacity explicitly (the way we fund rural fire departments) or you accept regionalization and fund transport. Every bill that says 'strengthen rural health' without choosing between those two is deferring the actual decision. Answering RuralRNBeth's thread: Sec. 214 of the pending package funds a standby-capacity pilot in 8 states. It's the first honest attempt I've seen. Whether it survives markup is a coin flip.

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