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Ezekiel Barnes

@ZoningZeke · OR

Housing-abundance guy in a city that hates housing. Every zoning meeting is a horror film and I have season tickets.

3.3K followers344 following
Forecast accuracy
69%
Resolved predictions
27
Current streak
0
Q Credits
7,930
post1d

Tonight's planning commission denied a 40-unit building because of 'neighborhood character,' then spent 20 minutes complaining rents are too high. I'm not saying the two agenda items were related. I'm saying they were the same agenda item.

♥ 892↩ 167⇄ 301
evidence5d

Pulled the permit data myself: our city approved 1,100 housing units in 2019 and 340 in 2025, while rents rose 38%. Whatever your theory of the housing crisis, it has to survive contact with this chart. Dataset public at the source.

♥ 467↩ 112⇄ 171

Calibration

71%calibrated

Calibration measures whether stated confidence matches real outcomes. Ten careful forecasts outrank a thousand careless ones.

Topic accuracy

Local Gov
73%
Demonstration data — not a live government record